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Orlando Magic vs Memphis Grizzlies

WHO: Memphis Grizzlies (5-2, Four-1 Residence) vs. Orlando Magic (5-2, 2-2 Away)
WHEN: 7:00 PM CT
WHERE: FedExForum in Memphis, TN
Damage Report-
Memphis- Mike Conley (Questionable, sore left achilles), Marc Gasol (Questionable, left ankle), JaMychal Inexperienced (Out, left foot/ankle), Ben McLemore (Out, proper foot), Wayne Selden Jr. (Out, proper quad)
Orlando- Elfrid Payton (Uncertain, hamstring), Adreian Payne (Out, hand)
Memphis: Mike Conley, Andrew HarrisonJames Ennis IIIJarell Martin, Marc Gasol
Orlando: D.J. AugustinTerrence RossEvan FournierAaron GordonNikola Vucevic

Tonight’s matchup for the Grizzlies pits them in opposition to an elite East powerhouse within the Orlando Magic. Significantly, the Magic are good. I’m simply as shocked as you. The Magic, just like the Grizzlies, have been some of the stunning groups this season, leaping out to a 5-2 document with blowout wins over each the Kawhi-less Spurs and Cavaliers.
Coach Frank Vogel has by some means turned this Magic workforce into an offensive juggernaut, averaging almost 117 factors a sport. That stat is a bit inflated as a result of Magic enjoying some groups who're horrendous on the defensive finish, because the Cavs and Nets are each backside 5 in NBA in factors allowed per sport. The Grizzlies, in the meantime, permit the third fewest factors per sport within the NBA, holding the Warriors and Rockets (twice) in examine. Tonight’s matchup will possible come all the way down to if the Grizzlies can maintain one other good offensive workforce underneath 100 factors.
Listed below are a couple of different keys to the sport for the Grizzlies:

Get up the starters

The Grizzlies have been in a position to overcome a nasty sport from the starters on Saturday in opposition to Houston (thanks, Chandler) however couldn’t survive a second dangerous sport on Monday in opposition to the Hornets. The Grizzlies bench outscored the Grizzlies starters 51-48 on Monday night time. A part of that's the bench being among the best within the NBA, however it was largely on account of dangerous video games from each Mike Conley and Marc Gasol. Merely, Memphis wants greater than 26 factors on Eight-33 capturing from their star gamers. The Grizzlies bench is sweet sufficient to hold the workforce if Conley or Gasol are having off nights, however it will likely be powerful to win video games if each stars battle.
The Magic bench has some firepower in Marreese Speights and Jonathon Simmons(mixed 38 factors Monday vs. Pelicans) so the Grizzlies shouldn’t attempt to depend on their bench tonight.

Get an early lead (and maintain it)

The Magic’s two losses have come on the highway in video games they have been down on the half. If the Grizzlies can soar out to an early lead, like they've their earlier three video games, they could be capable to put away a Magic workforce that's nonetheless younger and never used to profitable. Nevertheless, the Grizzlies haven’t been in a position to maintain leads. They blew a 22 level lead within the win final Thursday vs. Dallas and a 13 level lead within the loss Monday to Charlotte. This pertains to the Grizzlies starters enjoying properly for the reason that bench has carried out it’s job in sustaining and constructing leads (+6.1 internet score) whereas the starters are have been struggling (-1.1). If the Grizzlies let Orlando soar to an early lead, it might give them sufficient confidence on the highway to run away with it.

The Prediction

The Magic are an improved workforce and much exceeding expectations early on. Nevertheless, I believe a part of their early season success is as a result of stage of competitors. Their 5 wins come in opposition to the Warmth, Nets, Cavs, Spurs and Pelicans. Not essentially the best wins on the planet, but additionally not extraordinarily troublesome. The Magic’s early season success can be influenced significantly by their unsustainable three level capturing and protection. They at present lead the league in three level share and permit the bottom share of makes within the league. They can preserve Memphis held in examine on their very own three level line, but when the protection can shut down groups just like the Warriors and Rockets, they need to be capable to deal with the Magic.
The sport will possible come down as to whether or not the Grizzlies protection can cease the Magic offense. The Grizzlies protection has gotten worn out currently by fast, shifty guards in James Harden and Kemba Walker. Evan Fournier is artful, however he’s not fairly nearly as good as the 2 beforehand talked about gamers. The Magic received’t be capable to assault Jarell within the choose and roll just like the Rockets and Hornets did. Aaron Gordon and Nikola Vucevic are having nice offensive seasons, however Gasol ought to be capable to preserve them in examine down low whereas additionally making the most of their common protection.
Assuming no less than Conley or Gasol performs, I see the Grizzlies in a position to construct a good sufficient lead that even a 4th quarter Magic run can’t overcome.
Bonus Prediction: I additionally predict the Grizzlies would be the first to carry Orlando underneath 100 factors for the primary time this season.
Memphis 102, Orlando 96
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